benchgap
Mind the Gap: Explicit Cross-Benchmark Calibrations for Estimating Missing LLM Evaluation Scores
Most LLMs are evaluated on only a few benchmarks: across 401 models and 146 benchmark versions, coverage is just 8.3%. benchgap estimates the missing scores without running any evaluations, calibrating each benchmark against same-capability benchmarks with monotone curves selected by leave-one-out cross-validation, and attaching an error and confidence level to every estimate. In a 15% holdout it fills 71% of masked cells at 4.6 pp MAE, 23% lower than a matrix-completion baseline. It also quantifies the harness tax, the disagreement between evaluation setups on the same models. Estimates are updated daily at benchgap.net.
Süli, P. P., Eigner, G., Hollós, R.
With Obuda University · Biomatics & Applied AI Institute · HUN-REN Centre for Agricultural Research